Concrete-Horn
0x49e5ff724de534a9b3bdc666b3b6878de234f527
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$34.37
Realised
$11.96
Win rate
89%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
158 shares @ 90.2¢·now 90.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$142.87
$0.49
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
107 shares @ 84.3¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$93.42
$3.42
- NO
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
87 shares @ 82.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$69.89
$-1.30
- NO
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
69 shares @ 91.3¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$61.85
$-1.26
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
78 shares @ 79.1¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$60.63
$-1.29
- NO
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
54 shares @ 97.1¢·now 98.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$52.98
$0.49
- NO
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
50 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$45.25
$-0.25
- NO
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?
49 shares @ 91.1¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.13
$0.18
- NO
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
51 shares @ 88.9¢·now 89.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.13
$0.19
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
42 shares @ 91.5¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$38.80
$0.56
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$19.90May 17, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?$12.48May 17, 18:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?$23.82May 17, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?$1.25May 17, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?$1.00May 17, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?$1.00May 17, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?$1.00May 17, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?$1.07May 17, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?$1.05May 17, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?$1.20May 17, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?$1.01May 17, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?$24.99May 17, 17:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?$1.22May 17, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?$2.00May 17, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?$1.74May 17, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?$1.10May 17, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?$1.45May 17, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?$2.00May 17, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?$1.45May 17, 16:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $11.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 21:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".