Knowledgeable-Pneumonia
0x4a137fa208741607257ea6dcc45720f13a065dbf
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$10.63
Total PnL
$-16.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will the AAVE TVL go below $10B in 2026?
5 shares @ 53.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.02
$0.37
- NO
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.03
$0.98
- YES
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 63.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.42
$-1.34
- YES
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.22
$0.22
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.89
$-0.11
- NO
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.78
$-0.22
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.75
$-0.33
- YES
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?
5 shares @ 30.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.28
$-1.23
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
5 shares @ 27.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.23
$-1.13
- YES
Will Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$1.04May 18, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?$0.54May 18, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?$0.50May 18, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$1.01May 14, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.12May 11, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AAVE TVL go below $10B in 2026?$0.01May 7, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AAVE TVL go below $10B in 2026?$2.64May 3, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYInk FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.00Apr 15, 17:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Artemis II launch by April 30?$1.06Apr 3, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artemis II launch by April 30?$1.00Apr 1, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYAltcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?$1.05Mar 20, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dogecoin reach $0.15 in March?$1.00Mar 16, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$0.00Mar 16, 18:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$1.77Mar 16, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$1.00Mar 16, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$1.00Mar 13, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.35Mar 9, 17:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US capture Khamenei before 2027?$0.80Feb 28, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?$1.01Feb 24, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLFlying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?$2.62Feb 20, 18:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 24, 10:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".