Scratchy-Speed
0x4a2313b6abb5229f02cd380c9fb7a884ecef079f
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$71.4K
Total PnL
$-20.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
15000 shares @ 94.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$15.0K
$840.00
- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
15000 shares @ 96.0¢·now 91.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$13.7K
$-690.36
- YES
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
18891 shares @ 54.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$11.2K
$1.0K
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
7500 shares @ 70.0¢·now 97.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$7.3K
$2.0K
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
6287 shares @ 95.7¢·now 97.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.1K
$125.61
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
14888 shares @ 58.7¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.4K
$-3.3K
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5000 shares @ 96.6¢·now 97.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.9K
$51.86
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
5000 shares @ 69.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.2K
$-274.88
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
5000 shares @ 15.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.1K
$1.3K
- NO
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?
1000 shares @ 70.1¢·now 99.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$998.00
$296.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$4.58May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$4.58May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$4.57May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$4.58May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$4.60May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$4.61May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$4.61May 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$4.61May 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$4.62May 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$4.63May 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$4.65May 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$4.64May 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$4.65May 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$4.62May 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$2.91May 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$3.26May 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$2.96May 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$4.28May 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$3.82Apr 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$3.85Apr 29, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 00:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".