Adored-Curio
0x4a46ec4a7fd02c3d2c8b288607396271b3ad118c
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
60
Open notional
$231.32
Total PnL
$34.80
Realised
$15.38
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- YES
Will MrBeast hit 124.5 billion views by May 31?
60 shares @ 5.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$42.33
$39.33
- YES
Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?
28 shares @ 28.8¢·now 66.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$18.51
$10.51
- NO
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
62 shares @ 21.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$17.30
$4.30
- YES
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
73 shares @ 12.3¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.22
$4.22
- YES
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?
282 shares @ 4.3¢·now 4.6¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$12.97
$0.97
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
161 shares @ 8.7¢·now 7.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.50
$-2.50
- YES
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
49 shares @ 22.3¢·now 22.5¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$11.12
$0.12
- YES
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.29
$2.29
- NO
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?
19 shares @ 27.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.76
$1.76
- YES
100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30?
33 shares @ 24.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.33
$-1.67
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?$3.12May 17, 22:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00May 17, 21:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi hug at their summit?$0.00May 17, 21:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Kamikaze" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00May 17, 21:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00May 17, 21:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get 50 million or more views on day 1?$0.00May 17, 21:58 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 11PM ET$0.00May 17, 21:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill 1. FC Köln win on 2026-05-16?$0.00May 17, 21:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast say "Cash" during his next YouTube video?$0.00May 17, 21:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast say "Mystery Box" during his next YouTube video?$0.00May 17, 21:58 UTC
- REDEEMEbola emergency by June 30?$0.00May 17, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?$2.05May 17, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?$1.04May 17, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$1.04May 17, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$1.04May 17, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?$1.03May 17, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?$4.00May 17, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?$2.07May 17, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$3.10May 17, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYTucker Carlson arrested by May 31?$1.04May 17, 19:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $3.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 19:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 22:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".