Buoyant-Infarction
0x4a5497ef8c451ff6883ce5d13cc32a2e29c0db64
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$2.7K
Total PnL
$-345.48
Realised
$-18.16
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?
893 shares @ 80.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$517.94
$-196.46
- SPACEX
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
494 shares @ 83.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$490.30
$80.28
- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
614 shares @ 66.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$420.59
$15.35
- YES
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
609 shares @ 80.0¢·now 66.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$403.46
$-83.74
- NO
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
543 shares @ 57.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$355.67
$46.16
- NO
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?
327 shares @ 49.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$327.00
$164.48
- NO
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
106 shares @ 87.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$96.98
$4.77
- NO
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
71 shares @ 75.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$61.77
$8.52
- NO
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?
48 shares @ 82.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.04
$1.68
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 87.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.31
$-1.43
Recent activity
- TRADESELLApplied Intuition IPO before 2027?$31.60Apr 12, 16:27 UTC
- TRADESELLApplied Intuition IPO before 2027?$403.69Apr 12, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?$714.40Apr 11, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYApplied Intuition IPO before 2027?$491.18Apr 11, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$325.50Apr 11, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$390.60Apr 10, 19:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?$10.75Apr 9, 22:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?$111.80Apr 9, 22:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?$230.05Apr 9, 22:41 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?$169.00Apr 9, 22:19 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$2.40Apr 9, 21:38 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$87.48Apr 9, 21:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill April 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?$72.48Apr 9, 13:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill April 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?$57.68Apr 9, 13:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?$336.60Apr 9, 12:04 UTC
- TRADESELLSHEIN IPO before 2027?$192.06Apr 9, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?$302.94Apr 8, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?$309.51Apr 8, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?$217.60Apr 8, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?$269.60Apr 8, 18:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $177.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 15:21 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 16:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".