Sugary-Recession
0x4a70237d0d48c8eddf2f08d052a56377d0c8c277
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$150.25
Total PnL
$6.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
241 shares @ 51.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$133.86
$10.85
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on May 22?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.51
$0.51
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on May 23?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$1.17
$0.17
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 22?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 23?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 23?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 23?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on May 23?
2 shares @ 58.6¢·now 59.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on May 22?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 23?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.92
$-0.08
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$0.00May 22, 15:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$0.00May 22, 15:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$0.00May 22, 15:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 22?$1.52May 22, 15:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$0.83May 22, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$1.04May 22, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$1.01May 22, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$1.03May 22, 13:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$1.15May 22, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$1.02May 22, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - May 22, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$1.44May 22, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 22, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$1.03May 22, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$1.02May 22, 13:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$1.21May 22, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$1.02May 22, 13:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on May 22?$0.00May 22, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be 76°F or higher on May 24?$1.05May 22, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 62°F or higher on May 24?$1.05May 22, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 62°F or higher on May 24?$1.05May 22, 12:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on May 22?$1.42May 22, 12:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 21:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 15:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".