0x4a7082261f570297d3052f5cbdb0a0e33f85a50b
0x4a7082261f570297d3052f5cbdb0a0e33f85a50b
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$101.88
Total PnL
$-42.68
Realised
$-86.67
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Ivar Stenberg be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
623 shares @ 3.2¢·now 12.8¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$79.38
$59.35
- YES
Will Chase Reid be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$7.00
$3.88
- YES
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
27 shares @ 22.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.80
$-2.20
- YES
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
25 shares @ 24.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.75
$-2.25
- YES
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
3 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$3.44
$0.08
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
59 shares @ 8.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.27
$-1.49
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.45
$-0.55
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?
107 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.43
$-0.57
- YES
Will Keaton Verhoeff be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
731 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.37
$-5.63
- YES
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
12 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-6.64
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$3.36May 16, 22:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$3.25May 16, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$118.55May 16, 22:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$119.19May 16, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$97.99May 16, 22:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$98.04May 16, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$57.14May 16, 22:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$57.39May 16, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$1.04May 16, 22:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Romania win Eurovision 2026?$1.08May 16, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania win Eurovision 2026?$6.33May 16, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Albania win Eurovision 2026?$6.33May 16, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$6.79May 16, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$0.59May 15, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$2.06May 14, 23:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win Eurovision 2026?$8.23May 14, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Albania win Eurovision 2026?$10.50May 14, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Malta win Eurovision 2026?$10.50May 14, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Malta win Eurovision 2026?$13.05May 14, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Eurovision 2026?$4.63May 14, 19:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $22.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 10:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 22:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".