Calm-Flavor
0x4ac779b842fde7c4dc6fa00076f410c16c59d6bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$492.89
Total PnL
$-3.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will Juanma Moreno be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?
66 shares @ 97.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 17, 2026$65.65
$1.31
- NO
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
51 shares @ 97.2¢·now 97.3¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$50.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
51 shares @ 98.5¢·now 92.3¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$46.83
$-3.17
- NO
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
41 shares @ 96.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$41.26
$1.26
- NO
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
41 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$40.51
$0.51
- NO
Will Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
40 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.4¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$40.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
31 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$30.88
$0.88
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
35 shares @ 91.3¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.66
$-1.34
- YES
Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
25 shares @ 98.1¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$25.15
$0.15
- YES
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
21 shares @ 96.2¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$19.80
$-0.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?$1.00May 18, 13:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?$2.11May 18, 05:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?$2.29May 18, 05:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill VOX (VOX) win the Andalusia regional election?$13.03May 18, 05:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win the Andalusia regional election?$25.15May 18, 05:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Partido Popular (PP) win the Andalusia regional election?$50.10May 18, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Popular (PP) win 53-55 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$1.00May 17, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$1.00May 17, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?$1.00May 17, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?$1.00May 17, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?$2.00May 17, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Popular (PP) win the Andalusia regional election?$50.00May 17, 18:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?$0.00May 17, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be less than 70%?$0.00May 17, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?$10.16May 17, 18:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be less than 70%?$10.31May 17, 18:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?$5.09May 17, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Malta win Eurovision 2026?$5.09May 17, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$10.14May 17, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$10.32May 17, 06:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $7.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 09:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 13:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".