0x4aefed77846f1b884bcbfb9e63acb351c2be9337
0x4aefed77846f1b884bcbfb9e63acb351c2be9337
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
52
Open notional
$17.1K
Total PnL
$-6.3K
Realised
$2.0K
Win rate
88%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- NO
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 82.3¢·now 81.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.2K
$-46.89
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
5000 shares @ 91.0¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.6K
$92.50
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.9K
$-150.00
- CANADA
World Championships: Canada vs. Denmark
849 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$810.61
$12.31
- YES
Will Manchester City win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?
701 shares @ 69.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$701.32
$212.82
- NO
Will VfB Stuttgart win DFB-Pokal?
497 shares @ 80.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$410.02
$12.43
- NO
Will Arsenal score the most goals in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?
135 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$134.34
$0.67
- YES
UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion
132 shares @ 55.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$130.61
$58.05
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?
130 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 30, 2026$129.61
$3.51
- NO
Will Kylian Mbappé have the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 Champions League?
66 shares @ 99.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$61.55
$-4.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Canada vs. Denmark$64.47May 18, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Canada vs. Denmark$16.92May 18, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Canada vs. Denmark$18.80May 18, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Canada vs. Denmark$23.73May 18, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Canada vs. Denmark$674.37May 18, 03:23 UTC
- YIELD$1.10May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.11May 17, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-05-09?$80.67May 16, 14:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?$561.32May 16, 14:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?$6.4KMay 16, 14:05 UTC
- YIELD$1.11May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.10May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.11May 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.11May 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-05-09?$79.81May 12, 20:35 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$13.46May 12, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$1.01May 12, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)$175.84May 11, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$394.98May 11, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)$638.07May 11, 11:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $159.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 02:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".