Scared-Lawyer
0x4b2cfa7243b9b14372af1e2c80887a1b82c3da3f
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$325.45
Total PnL
$-37.09
Realised
$0.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?
75 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$74.67
$0.11
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
50 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 19, 2026$49.92
$-0.03
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?
50 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 18, 2026$49.90
$-0.05
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?
50 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$49.73
$-0.02
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
20 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 19, 2026$19.92
$-0.02
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$9.98
$0.00
- NO
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 19 be less than 80?
10 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 22, 2026$9.96
$0.06
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
10 shares @ 98.2¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$9.95
$0.13
- NO
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.00 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 96.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.45
$-0.15
- YES
Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?
255 shares @ 9.8¢·now 3.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.03
$-16.87
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$49.95May 18, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$19.94May 18, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in May?$4.70May 18, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?$49.77May 18, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?$49.95May 18, 10:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elche CF win on 2026-05-17?$0.00May 18, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Valencia CF win on 2026-05-17?$0.00May 18, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?$0.00May 18, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?$0.00May 18, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-17?$0.00May 18, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-17?$2.70May 18, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$5.26May 18, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-05-17?$6.94May 18, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill PSV win on 2026-05-17?$10.03May 18, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Girona FC win on 2026-05-17?$12.66May 18, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-17?$25.97May 18, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?$50.00May 18, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-17?$280.90May 18, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?$49.90May 17, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-17?$250.82May 17, 14:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $31.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 08:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".