Warm-Slash
0x4b3c4565fde3b3d3501623058e105cf8efcd2688
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$388.78
Total PnL
$-9.74
Realised
$-1.15
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?
169 shares @ 72.7¢·now 99.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$167.94
$44.93
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
49 shares @ 64.6¢·now 64.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.76
$-0.14
- NO
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
46 shares @ 65.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$28.85
$-1.15
- YES
Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?
28 shares @ 61.5¢·now 66.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$18.42
$1.42
- YES
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
19 shares @ 80.9¢·now 94.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.46
$2.46
- YES
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
20 shares @ 76.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$17.37
$2.37
- YES
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?
44 shares @ 44.3¢·now 36.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$15.87
$-3.63
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
31 shares @ 65.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.23
$-4.77
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
42 shares @ 36.1¢·now 35.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$14.65
$-0.35
- YES
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?
23 shares @ 65.5¢·now 60.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$13.74
$-1.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$32.35May 18, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?$10.00May 18, 06:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$9.07May 18, 06:38 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$0.88May 17, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$7.00May 17, 22:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$7.00May 17, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?$20.04May 17, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$20.00May 17, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$5.00May 17, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?$10.14May 17, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$14.67May 17, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 17, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$7.00May 17, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$2.00May 17, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$5.80May 17, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$2.00May 17, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$15.00May 17, 15:34 UTC
- TRADESELLVenezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?$7.82May 17, 15:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$9.88May 17, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$5.00May 17, 14:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $10.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 22:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".