Fickle-Cappuccino
0x4b8891eee7a4735e91fd4c9b03c26cecf3ff86c4
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$515.40
Total PnL
$-319.00
Realised
$33.42
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026?
600 shares @ 73.3¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$261.00
$-179.00
- YES
AI bubble burst in 2026?
500 shares @ 20.8¢·now 23.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$116.75
$12.75
- YES
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
800 shares @ 11.5¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$84.00
$-8.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
2200 shares @ 10.3¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$49.50
$-176.50
- YES
Will USD/JPY hit 170 (High) in 2026?
18 shares @ 33.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.15
$-1.68
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAI bubble burst in 2026?$104.00May 16, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYZhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?$34.80May 12, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYZhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?$13.20May 11, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?$59.01May 10, 05:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026?$9.94May 8, 10:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$323.64May 7, 02:17 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$10.83May 7, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$3.44May 7, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$0.14May 6, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$100.00May 6, 21:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$3.25May 6, 20:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$88.00May 6, 20:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$40.00May 6, 20:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$40.00May 6, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026?$0.26May 6, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$38.96May 6, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$10.00May 6, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$4.64May 6, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$26.81May 6, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$12.96May 6, 12:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $83.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 15:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 17:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".