Sniveling-Manacle
0x4be5bfbdc705157e075d21ea1926594a03aac1b3
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
156
Open notional
$34.2K
Total PnL
$-50.7K
Realised
$-1.0K
Win rate
55%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 156- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
10000 shares @ 70.9¢·now 59.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$5.9K
$-1.2K
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
6107 shares @ 85.2¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.5K
$325.86
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
5967 shares @ 8.7¢·now 35.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$2.1K
$1.6K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
2000 shares @ 97.8¢·now 98.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.0K
$19.00
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
2000 shares @ 95.5¢·now 96.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.9K
$10.02
- NO
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?
1989 shares @ 90.7¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.8K
$16.06
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
1300 shares @ 75.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$97.50
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
2000 shares @ 64.2¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.0K
$-274.99
- NO
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
1000 shares @ 70.5¢·now 95.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$958.00
$253.00
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
1000 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$936.50
$26.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$30.61May 14, 17:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by June 30?$1.0KMay 13, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?$0.26May 13, 02:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 9, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$1.9KMay 8, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$2.0KMay 8, 07:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 8, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$3.90May 7, 07:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 6, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMSharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?$2.0KMay 5, 23:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill PayPal (PYPL) beat quarterly earnings?$80.00May 5, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aptiv (APTV) beat quarterly earnings?$100.00May 5, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill KKR (KKR) beat quarterly earnings?$100.00May 5, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dupont (DD) beat quarterly earnings?$200.00May 5, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?$1.50May 5, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?$0.63May 5, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?$0.62May 5, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?$2.21May 5, 01:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $261.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 17:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".