Smooth-Casement
0x4c3ffdb83902929a25778ff7b28da39d599232b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
51
Open notional
$0.38
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$8.67
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- ARSENAL FC
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
417 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.21
$-299.79
- OVER
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5
227 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.11
$-99.89
- YES
Leandro Trossard: Anytime Goalscorer
55 shares @ 36.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.03
$-19.97
- YES
Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime Goalscorer
37 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.02
$-19.98
- YES
Bukayo Saka: Anytime Goalscorer
23 shares @ 43.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.01
$-9.99
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
721 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
621 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-8.07
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
600 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-05-16?
375 shares @ 21.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-05-16?
265 shares @ 60.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-160.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYArsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5$101.68May 18, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYLeandro Trossard: Anytime Goalscorer$20.38May 18, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBukayo Saka: Anytime Goalscorer$10.17May 18, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYViktor Gyokeres: Anytime Goalscorer$20.28May 18, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)$302.52May 18, 14:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US Cremonese win on 2026-05-17?$83.24May 17, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AJ Auxerre win on 2026-05-17?$131.43May 17, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Antalyaspor win on 2026-05-17?$153.68May 17, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-05-17?$38.26May 17, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OGC Nice win on 2026-05-17?$10.25May 17, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OGC Nice win on 2026-05-17?$101.16May 17, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AJ Auxerre win on 2026-05-17?$50.93May 17, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US Cremonese win on 2026-05-17?$50.60May 17, 19:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-17?$199.79May 17, 19:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kasımpaşa SK vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?$16.91May 17, 18:39 UTC
- TRADESELLLevante UD vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5$172.30May 17, 18:20 UTC
- TRADESELLFenerbahçe SK vs. Eyüpspor: Both Teams to Score$62.13May 17, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-05-17?$21.56May 17, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYLevante UD vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5$201.38May 17, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYElche CF vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to Score$50.81May 17, 15:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $119.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 15:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 14:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".