Reflecting-Pantology
0x4c4ed674fde7dc998036b3ae92445d00fcdb297b
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
63
Open notional
$12.8K
Total PnL
$467.17
Realised
$-150.50
Win rate
35%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- YES
Will Anthropic have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?
2940 shares @ 14.4¢·now 91.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.7K
$2.2K
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 63.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.9K
$412.50
- NO
Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
1962 shares @ 75.2¢·now 94.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.9K
$377.93
- YES
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
1972 shares @ 85.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.5K
$-216.50
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.1K
$-412.50
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
15615 shares @ 12.8¢·now 5.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$858.82
$-1.1K
- NO
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
500 shares @ 90.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$477.51
$27.50
- NO
Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
341 shares @ 80.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$324.49
$51.38
- NO
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
339 shares @ 69.2¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$301.92
$67.20
- NO
Will Minnesota use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
290 shares @ 88.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$280.87
$25.66
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.33May 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 17, 21:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?$2.90May 17, 20:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?$1.68May 17, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by June 30?$126.68May 17, 04:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?$83.13May 17, 04:19 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.15May 17, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.57May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.02May 16, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.61May 16, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.75May 16, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.71May 16, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.82May 16, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.75May 16, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$57.50May 16, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$34.26May 16, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.0KMay 16, 21:43 UTC
- MERGEWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.0KMay 16, 21:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?$587.86May 16, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?$111.24May 16, 16:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $209.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".