Notable-Swamp
0x4c5d457044ba461349c8280c77f24ad41ae18d58
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$38.04
Total PnL
$-521.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
21 shares @ 96.2¢·now 97.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.20
$0.20
- NO
Will USD/JPY hit 180 (High) in 2026?
21 shares @ 94.7¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.84
$-2.16
- YES
Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?
1210 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Casey's General Stores (CASY) beat quarterly earnings?
1116 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings?
866 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Adobe (ADBE) beat quarterly earnings?
827 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Lululemon (LULU) beat quarterly earnings?
322 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $108K on September 1?
222 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill USD/JPY hit 180 (High) in 2026?$20.00Feb 12, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?$20.00Feb 12, 12:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?$113.23Jan 25, 18:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?$128.33Jan 25, 18:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?$416.67Jan 25, 18:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill WD-40 Company (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings?$578.39Jan 25, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WD-40 Company (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings?$20.00Jan 2, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lululemon (LULU) beat quarterly earnings?$20.00Dec 11, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adobe (ADBE) beat quarterly earnings?$100.00Dec 9, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings?$100.00Dec 9, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Casey's General Stores (CASY) beat quarterly earnings?$100.00Dec 9, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?$100.00Oct 24, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?$100.00Oct 24, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?$100.00Oct 11, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?$100.00Oct 11, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $107K August 25–31?$230.80Sep 1, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $107K August 25–31?$100.00Sep 1, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $108K on September 1?$100.00Aug 30, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $107K August 25–31?$90.00Aug 30, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $107K August 25–31?$10.00Aug 30, 02:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $81.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 30, 02:06 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 12, 12:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".