Creative-Basil
0x4c61901b06a4d060e882ad6c76de176cac48db2e
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$28.13
Total PnL
$13.95
Realised
$57.58
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Jiří Procházka be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
25 shares @ 1.0¢·now 90.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.39
$22.15
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 1.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.30
$2.30
- NO
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
13 shares @ 20.3¢·now 9.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.22
$-1.46
- NO
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- NO
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- NO
Will "Mortal Kombat II" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?
400 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.20
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?
30 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.01
$-4.49
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?
224 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.90
- YES
Will Drake feature Teezo Touchdown on ICEMAN?
80 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.67
- YES
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?
70 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-36.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?$1.04May 18, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?$4.50May 18, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$0.17May 18, 10:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?$5.13May 18, 05:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?$0.27May 18, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?$5.60May 18, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?$1.05May 18, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on May 18?$0.31May 17, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 18?$0.16May 17, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 18?$0.31May 17, 16:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$7.00May 17, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$1.90May 17, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$2.59May 17, 04:52 UTC
- REDEEMPooh Shiesty charged by May 31?$0.00May 17, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?$3.00May 17, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYPooh Shiesty charged by May 31?$1.00May 16, 19:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?$0.00May 16, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?$0.94May 16, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$1.00May 16, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mortal Kombat II" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?$1.20May 16, 16:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $3.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 18:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 15:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".