Definite-Relaxation
0x4c81549be7d2c3ab33fcca25532426a8a3e67bda
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$103.53
Total PnL
$3.99
Realised
$-2.84
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?
32 shares @ 56.1¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 30, 2026$32.14
$14.05
- YES
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
42 shares @ 42.4¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$12.80
$-4.98
- MUSLIM SALIKHOV
UFC Fight Night: Jake Matthews vs. Muslim Salikhov (Welterweight, Prelims)
17 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.21
$-0.08
- TREY OGDEN
UFC Fight Night: Trey Ogden vs. Tommy Gantt (Lightweight, Prelims)
14 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$6.84
$0.00
- NO
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?
7 shares @ 97.6¢·now 91.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.33
$-0.40
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
28 shares @ 20.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$6.28
$0.70
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
18 shares @ 21.5¢·now 32.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$5.62
$1.86
- YES
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
17 shares @ 26.3¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$3.99
$-0.48
- JOAO FONSECA
Hamburg European Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Joao Fonseca
8 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$3.86
$-0.08
- NO
Will Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?
4 shares @ 59.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 8, 2026$3.02
$0.91
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.72May 18, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Jake Matthews vs. Muslim Salikhov (Welterweight, Prelims)$1.97May 18, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Detroit Pistons advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?$2.29May 18, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamburg European Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Joao Fonseca$2.02May 17, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamburg European Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Joao Fonseca$2.02May 17, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andoni Iraola be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.?$3.69May 17, 11:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harry Kane record the most Player of the Match awards during the 2025 UEFA Champions League?$0.01May 17, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Xabi Alonso be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.?$0.00May 17, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Jake Matthews vs. Muslim Salikhov (Welterweight, Prelims)$5.02May 17, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Jake Matthews vs. Muslim Salikhov (Welterweight, Prelims)$1.51May 17, 03:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 03:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$5.83May 17, 03:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$1.81May 17, 02:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 02:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$0.00May 17, 02:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$0.00May 17, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.48May 15, 17:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harry Kane record the most Player of the Match awards during the 2025 UEFA Champions League?$0.01May 15, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harry Kane record the most Player of the Match awards during the 2025 UEFA Champions League?$0.01May 15, 16:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC Fight Night: Trey Ogden vs. Tommy Gantt (Lightweight, Prelims)$0.04May 14, 04:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $0.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 02:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 11:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".