Poised-Policeman
0x4c86e14819ad26ab4fff84f07a1794de77191ed3
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$1.9K
Total PnL
$-544.77
Realised
$31.38
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
889 shares @ 84.0¢·now 68.3¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$607.52
$-139.10
- NO
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
1100 shares @ 66.7¢·now 38.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$423.50
$-310.50
- YES
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
662 shares @ 60.2¢·now 39.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$261.38
$-137.04
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
464 shares @ 68.6¢·now 55.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$257.56
$-60.99
- NO
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
222 shares @ 60.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$221.21
$88.29
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
118 shares @ 66.6¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$72.47
$-6.07
- YES
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
100 shares @ 43.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.49
$-10.50
- NO
AI bubble burst in 2026?
24 shares @ 54.0¢·now 74.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.86
$4.95
- NO
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?
20 shares @ 41.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$17.00
$8.80
- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.25
$1.42
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Apr 30, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Apr 29, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 00:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".