Plaintive-Menu
0x4c96003fdf1912a558db066744cd9f15a861193d
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$241.90
Total PnL
$-1.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
53 shares @ 95.7¢·now 95.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$50.61
$-0.11
- NO
Will Toronto FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
51 shares @ 98.3¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$49.95
$-0.18
- NO
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
53 shares @ 94.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$48.49
$-1.32
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?
51 shares @ 95.2¢·now 94.7¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$48.27
$-0.28
- NO
MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?
45 shares @ 97.8¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$44.57
$0.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$48.55May 18, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.22May 16, 05:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$7.00May 16, 04:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$5.00May 16, 04:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$6.00May 16, 04:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$8.78May 16, 03:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$21.76May 16, 03:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$50.18May 15, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$50.72May 15, 14:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Toronto FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$50.13May 14, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYMH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?$44.45May 14, 17:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?$49.82May 11, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$50.13May 11, 13:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$50.65May 10, 16:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $24.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 12:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 13:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".