0x4caadc5e9018551c44c9affa542c67f261eda6bc
0x4caadc5e9018551c44c9affa542c67f261eda6bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$27.22
Total PnL
$0.57
Realised
$7.32
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
52 shares @ 38.6¢·now 31.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$16.35
$-3.65
- NO
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?
23 shares @ 13.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$5.65
$2.65
- YES
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
5 shares @ 37.1¢·now 18.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.82
$-0.18
- NO
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.70
$-0.27
- YES
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.61
$-0.39
- YES
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.52
$-0.48
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
13 shares @ 15.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.34
$-1.66
- NO
Will Vinícius Júnior be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
11 shares @ 8.9¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.28
$-0.71
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.03May 16, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinícius Júnior be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$1.03May 11, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00May 11, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 11, 23:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$9.39Apr 30, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00Apr 27, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00Apr 27, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00Apr 27, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?$1.00Apr 27, 00:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$15.00Apr 27, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$3.00Apr 22, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$3.00Apr 22, 20:32 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?$1.74Apr 22, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?$2.00Apr 22, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.00Mar 30, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.00Mar 30, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.09Mar 28, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.64Mar 28, 23:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$4.89Mar 28, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00Mar 22, 23:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $5.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 14:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 15:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".