Outgoing-Neglect
0x4cc945733087f5cd7cc68186a0bbe264293fd5be
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
49
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- NO
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
903 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$899.55
$-0.45
- NO
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
254 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$253.81
$3.81
- NO
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
202 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$200.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
40 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$39.54
$0.34
- NO
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
30 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$29.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
14 shares @ 83.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.44
$-0.07
- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
10 shares @ 83.4¢·now 68.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$6.84
$-1.50
- NO
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
6 shares @ 96.5¢·now 96.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.80
$0.01
- NO
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?
6 shares @ 97.7¢·now 99.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.46
$0.09
- NO
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?
6 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.44
$-0.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$900.08May 14, 01:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$898.98May 14, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?$10.00May 14, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$10.00May 14, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.00May 14, 01:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 10, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$900.08May 9, 04:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$898.98May 9, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$900.08May 9, 04:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$958.91May 9, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$960.09May 9, 04:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$948.92May 9, 04:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $625.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 18:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".