Dutiful-Mechanism
0x4d022f236e5671ae89acee68507067ecea3abfec
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$207.37
Total PnL
$-66.55
Realised
$166.56
Win rate
85%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
100 shares @ 80.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$82.50
$2.50
- NO
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
65 shares @ 95.5¢·now 97.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$63.02
$0.94
- YES
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
100 shares @ 94.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$52.50
$-41.50
- NO
Will Nicolas Jackson be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
4 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$4.18
$0.09
- NO
Will Cody Gakpo be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
4 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$4.18
$0.09
- NO
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 95.8¢·now 98.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.99
$0.03
- YES
Will Joel Embiid win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
200 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?
101 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.42
- YES
Will Liverpool finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
100 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-28.00
- NO
Will Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
100 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-92.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$19.00May 9, 22:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 3, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$101.00May 2, 22:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 2, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 1, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".