Disguised-Output
0x4d826f2ad8b4fa42d7ad08b940b696857d78a5e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$4.4K
Total PnL
$385.60
Realised
$52.84
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
2474 shares @ 31.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$878.44
$111.52
- YES
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
1108 shares @ 62.1¢·now 79.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$874.99
$186.63
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
910 shares @ 51.6¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$778.12
$308.49
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?
682 shares @ 63.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$439.86
$9.86
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
663 shares @ 79.9¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$374.71
$-155.28
- YES
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
331 shares @ 77.8¢·now 91.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$301.79
$44.12
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?
682 shares @ 36.6¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$255.84
$5.74
- YES
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
225 shares @ 38.2¢·now 91.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$206.44
$120.48
- YES
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
721 shares @ 24.7¢·now 19.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$140.54
$-37.46
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
147 shares @ 68.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$102.95
$2.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?$51.00May 18, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?$30.34May 18, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?$101.12May 18, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?$100.56May 18, 10:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$282.88May 18, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$259.96May 17, 10:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$259.54May 17, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?$192.13May 15, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?$102.37May 15, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?$202.88May 15, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?$101.88May 15, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?$102.84May 15, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$101.28May 15, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?$509.25May 14, 12:43 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.5 released by June 30?$154.38May 14, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.5 released by June 30?$113.07May 14, 12:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?$41.32May 14, 12:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?$10.90May 14, 12:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$7.23May 14, 12:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?$99.17May 14, 12:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $110.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 09:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".