Mysterious-Plowman
0x4d9d7f303dde919abc0bd299bbb3b2ef9e29eabf
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$26.71
Total PnL
$-7.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.58
$0.06
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 96.9¢·now 99.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.52
$0.10
- NO
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
4 shares @ 94.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.34
$0.19
- NO
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?
4 shares @ 92.5¢·now 97.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.25
$0.23
- NO
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?
4 shares @ 93.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$3.74
$-0.15
- NO
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?
4 shares @ 92.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$3.59
$-0.21
- NO
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
4 shares @ 93.0¢·now 13.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.57
$-3.50
- EVEN
Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.56
$-0.54
- EVEN
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.55
$-0.54
- NO
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
3 shares @ 93.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.98
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Christofer get engaged on Love is Blind: Sweden: Season 3?$1.29May 16, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$2.99May 16, 19:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$4.55May 12, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Noah rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$4.60May 12, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Emma rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$4.61May 12, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?$4.56Apr 29, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?$4.49Apr 26, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Pittsburgh Steelers draft a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 NFL Draft?$4.57Apr 24, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Pittsburgh Steelers draft a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 NFL Draft?$4.52Apr 23, 22:01 UTC
- REDEEMPhiladelphia Union vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 4.5$4.06Apr 19, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Tigres de la UANL (-2.5)$4.06Apr 19, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: EC Juventude (-1.5)$4.11Apr 19, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Nashville SC (-2.5)$4.11Apr 19, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Houston Dynamo (-2.5)$4.15Apr 19, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: FC Cincinnati (-2.5)$4.15Apr 19, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-04-18?$4.15Apr 19, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Charlotte FC (-1.5)$4.20Apr 19, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Charlotte FC (-1.5)$3.91Apr 18, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-04-18?$3.86Apr 18, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: FC Cincinnati (-2.5)$3.86Apr 18, 22:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $3.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 21:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 19:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".