Assured-Pasta
0x4db7aae11d5024d212334f13a02945b9cc291cab
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
52
Open notional
$284.41
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-107.52
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
313 shares @ 3.2¢·now 37.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$117.66
$107.66
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4762 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$83.33
$-16.66
- SPURS
Spurs vs. Thunder
152 shares @ 33.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$49.24
$-0.76
- YES
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-05-20?
57 shares @ 35.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$13.43
$-6.57
- YES
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-05-20?
53 shares @ 38.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$9.21
$-10.79
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.17
$-0.83
- YUNNAN YUKUN FC
Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)
158 shares @ 19.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$2.37
$-27.63
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1093 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
455 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-05-16?
311 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)$30.73May 20, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-05-20?$20.39May 20, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-05-20?$20.37May 20, 05:21 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Knicks$38.46May 20, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$10.00May 20, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Knicks$5.13May 20, 02:07 UTC
- TRADESELLCavaliers vs. Knicks$24.47May 20, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$51.00May 20, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Knicks$10.19May 20, 01:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 20, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Thunder$89.10May 19, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)$20.34May 19, 05:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$40.19May 19, 05:14 UTC
- TRADESELLSpurs vs. Thunder$65.26May 19, 03:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 19, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$61.21May 18, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Pistons$67.55May 18, 05:15 UTC
- TRADESELLCavaliers vs. Pistons$65.23May 18, 01:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$49.30May 17, 17:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $62.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 14:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 07:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".