Caring-Hiccups
0x4db7faf6e54524836661a3570fa296ff0734d20e
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$14.5K
Total PnL
$-12.20
Realised
$-2.16
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
4271 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.2K
$74.03
- NO
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
3372 shares @ 95.7¢·now 95.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$3.2K
$-6.55
- NO
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
2705 shares @ 95.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.7K
$102.96
- NO
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
2157 shares @ 94.7¢·now 95.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$2.1K
$15.18
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
1070 shares @ 89.9¢·now 82.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$885.42
$-76.70
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?
500 shares @ 86.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$375.00
$-55.00
- YES
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?
300 shares @ 78.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$256.50
$22.50
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?
300 shares @ 88.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$211.50
$-52.50
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
300 shares @ 79.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$181.50
$-55.50
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 7.7¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$165.01
$11.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?$15.72May 18, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?$43.70May 18, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?$4.70May 18, 07:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLInk FDV above $2B one day after launch?$131.78May 14, 01:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLInk FDV above $2B one day after launch?$175.57May 13, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?$239.20May 13, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?$39.93May 13, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?$672.87May 13, 17:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 13, 00:15 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.73May 12, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 12, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?$852.92May 11, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?$57.30May 11, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?$39.78May 11, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$103.58May 11, 14:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $159.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 12:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".