Comfortable-Fillet
0x4dfa8422a9709adbe002c9cf40a981203f0046a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$2.7K
Total PnL
$-97.03
Realised
$-0.56
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1093 shares @ 98.8¢·now 98.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.1K
$0.55
- NO
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1028 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.0K
$-0.51
- NO
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
451 shares @ 91.2¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$410.18
$-1.13
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
54 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$52.96
$1.00
- YES
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
24 shares @ 98.8¢·now 98.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.72
$0.01
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
22 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$22.00
$0.15
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
42 shares @ 52.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$21.63
$-0.21
- NO
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?
21 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$20.87
$-0.07
- YES
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9398 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$14.10
$-4.70
- 76ERS
76ers vs. Hornets
51 shares @ 60.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-31.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.28May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.28May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.28May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.28May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.28May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.24May 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$21.85May 12, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.1KMay 12, 02:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.1KMay 12, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.1KMay 12, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.0KMay 12, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$412.40May 12, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$23.00May 12, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Baidu have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$26.00May 12, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?$52.00May 12, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$52.00May 12, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$95.97May 12, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?$2.3KMay 12, 02:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $436.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".