Informal-Crowd
0x4e1248be09b1af11927137bbd71782520089354c
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
199
Open notional
$66.40
Total PnL
$-336.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 199- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 20?
6 shares @ 31.0¢·now 93.3¢·exp May 20, 2026$5.60
$3.74
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on May 20?
13 shares @ 16.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$4.94
$2.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on May 20?
13 shares @ 15.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$4.29
$2.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on May 20?
95 shares @ 2.1¢·now 4.3¢·exp May 20, 2026$4.13
$2.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 20?
9 shares @ 21.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$2.98
$1.16
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on May 20?
7 shares @ 26.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$2.90
$1.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on May 21?
91 shares @ 2.2¢·now 3.1¢·exp May 21, 2026$2.82
$0.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 20?
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$2.50
$0.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 21?
9 shares @ 22.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$2.41
$0.41
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 21?
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$2.40
$0.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on May 20?$1.30May 20, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 21?$0.19May 20, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 21?$0.68May 20, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 21?$1.21May 20, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 21?$0.60May 20, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on May 21?$2.00May 20, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 21?$2.00May 20, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 21?$1.70May 20, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on May 21?$2.00May 20, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 21?$1.32May 20, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C or higher on May 20?$1.27May 20, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 21?$0.30May 20, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C or higher on May 20?$0.73May 20, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 21?$2.00May 20, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on May 20?$1.37May 20, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on May 20?$0.21May 20, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on May 20?$0.42May 20, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 21?$0.22May 20, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 21?$0.58May 20, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 20?$0.29May 20, 05:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 06:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".