Dull-Governance
0x4e51bc8c5a39951190c4b8f3a9a5fe60199953ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$238.54
Total PnL
$-420.33
Realised
$-203.22
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
1731 shares @ 12.6¢·now 10.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$181.76
$-35.73
- YES
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?
493 shares @ 10.2¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.94
$-13.06
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
118 shares @ 17.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.18
$-8.82
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 18.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.98
$1.98
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
75 shares @ 4.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.69
$-1.31
- NO
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
11370 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-26.98
- YES
Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?
3500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?
3420 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- BOY
Leavitt Baby: Boy or Girl?
1517 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-58.19
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?$13.13Jan 26, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?$27.32Jan 26, 11:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?$35.44Jan 26, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?$3.00Jan 26, 11:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?$4.32Jan 22, 12:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$17.68Jan 20, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?$11.73Jan 3, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?$50.00Jan 3, 13:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$33.97Jan 3, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$35.00Jan 3, 11:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 1, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?$20.00Dec 31, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?$4.00Dec 31, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?$2.67Dec 31, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.31Dec 31, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?$11.00Dec 31, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?$15.14Dec 31, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?$28.00Dec 31, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?$20.00Dec 31, 00:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 31, 00:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $42.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 29, 14:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 11:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".