Staid-Sovereignty
0x4ea9db43a1f6989d16e89486929f2d0d8d9e1651
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$269.61
Total PnL
$-199.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
63 shares @ 79.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$61.11
$11.11
- NO
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
56 shares @ 89.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$54.21
$4.21
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
130 shares @ 23.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.35
$-0.65
- NO
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?
40 shares @ 25.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$24.40
$14.40
- YES
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
155 shares @ 19.3¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.97
$-9.03
- YES
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.93
$9.93
- NOTHING
Nothing Ever Happens: May
15 shares @ 68.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$13.16
$3.16
- NO
Will Starmer say "Labour" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
22 shares @ 46.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$10.87
$0.87
- YES
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$7.50
$-2.50
- YES
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
209 shares @ 2.4¢·now 2.8¢·exp May 19, 2026$5.86
$0.86
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?$6.00May 16, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$10.37May 16, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$5.20May 16, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in May?$5.00May 16, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?$1.04May 16, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.19May 16, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.19May 16, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Liz" or "Truss" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$5.03May 16, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Northern Ireland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$5.11May 16, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Chancellor" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$5.06May 16, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Apologize" or "Apology" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$5.03May 16, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Scotland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$5.08May 16, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Labour" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$10.22May 16, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?$71.00May 15, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?$100.00May 15, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?$10.00May 15, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election held by December 31, 2026?$30.00May 11, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$30.00May 10, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?$5.00May 10, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill claude-opus-4-7-thinking have the best AI model on May 16, 2026?$10.39May 10, 21:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $17.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 12:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 21:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".