Aching-Parenthesis
0x4ec38b6159555c750259e3ca0b3062219f9edb2a
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$110.99
Total PnL
$-599.95
Realised
$53.70
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- $140
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?
150 shares @ 30.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$55.50
$10.50
- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
28 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$27.99
$0.07
- NO
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
110 shares @ 58.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$27.50
$-36.30
- NO
Will Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?
730 shares @ 30.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-220.46
- YES
Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
444 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-62.16
- YES
Will the New England Patriots be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?
434 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-82.46
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9AM ET
331 shares @ 54.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-180.35
- NO
Will "Melania" score at least 10 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
92 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-77.28
- YES
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
10 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$69.30Apr 27, 10:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$8.80Apr 27, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$63.80Apr 23, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?$98.04Apr 12, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?$496.22Apr 12, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?$129.86Apr 12, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?$94.52Apr 11, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?$90.35Apr 10, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother EU country restricts U.S. military aircraft by April 30?$90.58Apr 9, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?$740.96Apr 7, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother EU country restricts U.S. military aircraft by April 30?$122.93Apr 7, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AA Ponte Preta win on 2026-04-11?$54.56Mar 31, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$366.39Mar 30, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$366.39Mar 30, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$50.46Mar 30, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana hit $60 or $140 first?$45.00Mar 30, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Watford FC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?$334.00Mar 30, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AA Ponte Preta win on 2026-04-11?$56.32Mar 29, 13:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$496.44Mar 26, 08:13 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?$130.14Mar 25, 16:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $236.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 11:08 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 10:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".