Guilty-Jail
0x4f4d87a7402edf6b8c95f797e6c94ba2ceefebde
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$45.2K
Total PnL
$-4.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?
28034 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$27.8K
$-117.71
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?
17000 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$16.8K
$-7.48
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?
250 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 18, 2026$249.63
$0.13
- NO
Will Pia Olsen Dyhr be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
135 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$134.93
$0.20
- NO
Will Lars Boje Mathiesen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
75 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$74.89
$0.04
- NO
Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in May?
44 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$43.13
$-0.02
- NO
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
23 shares @ 94.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$22.68
$0.83
- NO
Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
23 shares @ 97.1¢·now 97.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$22.37
$0.04
- NO
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?
24 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.74
$-0.12
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
15 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp May 18, 2026$14.30
$0.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?$198.40May 18, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?$2.0KMay 18, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?$1.5KMay 18, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?$5.0KMay 18, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?$4.0KMay 18, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?$5.0KMay 18, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?$492.09May 18, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?$68.77May 18, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?$1.7KMay 18, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?$794.04May 18, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?$9.91May 18, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?$77.81May 18, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?$130.51May 18, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?$193.09May 18, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?$1.02May 18, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?$0.79May 18, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?$0.82May 18, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?$0.66May 18, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?$0.60May 18, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?$0.45May 18, 11:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $611.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 11:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 12:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".