Runny-Macaroni
0x4f6a401443115b5ec2698966b48fc615f2d9f60c
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
158
Open notional
$57.31
Total PnL
$-88.20
Realised
$589.26
Win rate
74%
81 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 158- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on May 22?
93 shares @ 30.5¢·now 27.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$25.24
$-3.24
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in May 2026?
150 shares @ 6.8¢·now 6.7¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$10.05
$-0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 21?
54 shares @ 13.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$8.12
$1.08
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in May 2026?
97 shares @ 5.9¢·now 8.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$7.81
$2.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 21?
48 shares @ 7.6¢·now 7.4¢·exp May 21, 2026$3.56
$-0.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on May 21?
66 shares @ 2.9¢·now 3.8¢·exp May 21, 2026$2.52
$0.58
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?
1091 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
818 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on May 22?$3.38May 20, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on May 22?$0.01May 20, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on May 22?$0.61May 20, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on May 22?$21.70May 20, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on May 22?$2.88May 20, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on May 21?$1.74May 20, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 21?$2.68May 20, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 21?$7.35May 20, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on May 21?$0.28May 20, 06:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on May 20?$3.87May 20, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 21?$0.35May 20, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 21?$1.79May 20, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in May 2026?$3.51May 20, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 21?$0.46May 20, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 21?$0.18May 20, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 21?$0.48May 20, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 21?$0.08May 20, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 21?$0.10May 20, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 21?$0.30May 20, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 21?$2.43May 20, 04:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 14:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 07:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 81 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".