Guilty-Forebear
0x4fad5916f72e19d8461a65135a46f02e2439d264
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$10.6K
Total PnL
$560.41
Realised
$-16.91
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
2035 shares @ 86.6¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.8K
$80.11
- NO
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
1733 shares @ 83.6¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.6K
$137.02
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
1443 shares @ 84.4¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$88.35
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
1325 shares @ 83.8¢·now 93.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.2K
$126.46
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
1043 shares @ 91.5¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$976.17
$21.17
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
741 shares @ 81.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$588.90
$-11.20
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
576 shares @ 78.8¢·now 94.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$542.41
$88.21
- YES
Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
636 shares @ 58.7¢·now 54.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$343.51
$-29.78
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
397 shares @ 75.6¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$335.24
$35.24
- NO
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?
317 shares @ 94.6¢·now 96.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$304.82
$4.83
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.20May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.20May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.20May 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$37.60May 15, 10:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.20May 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$16.91May 14, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$6.09May 14, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$9.20May 14, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Marco Rubio visit China by June 30, 2026?$114.06May 14, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Marco Rubio visit China by December 31, 2026?$114.94May 14, 05:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.19May 14, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$11.45May 13, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$38.95May 13, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYLee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?$100.55May 13, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYLee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?$100.58May 13, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$10.00May 13, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$100.00May 13, 06:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.18May 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$53.10May 12, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$50.86May 12, 02:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $54.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 16:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".