Modest-Spokesman
0x4fb1d5b6f34b3c9622ff934dde4df6981cc70787
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-25.98
Realised
$11.10
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?
897 shares @ 94.8¢·now 98.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$882.84
$32.44
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
400 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$382.00
$2.00
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
40 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$40.06
$0.06
- YES
Will Juanma Moreno be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?
30 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$29.79
$-0.21
- NO
Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch?
48 shares @ 51.5¢·now 53.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$25.60
$0.70
- NO
Will Antonio Maíllo be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 17, 2026$9.98
$-0.01
- NO
Will Manuel Gavira be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 17, 2026$9.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will María Jesús Montero be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?
10 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 17, 2026$9.94
$-0.06
- FAZE
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B
250 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 4?
100 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-29.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win the Andalusia regional election?$40.08May 18, 04:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 17?$200.20May 17, 22:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on May 17?$300.30May 17, 21:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on May 17?$500.50May 17, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELL50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?$247.98May 17, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$1.03May 17, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$1.00May 17, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win the Andalusia regional election?$40.00May 17, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juanma Moreno be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?$30.00May 17, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Antonio Maíllo be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?$10.00May 17, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manuel Gavira be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?$10.00May 17, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Jesús Montero be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?$10.00May 17, 09:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$80.21May 17, 03:39 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.88May 17, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$7.56May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 17?$200.01May 16, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 18?$200.01May 16, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 18?$200.01May 16, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on May 17?$500.02May 16, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on May 17?$300.01May 16, 22:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $131.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 21:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".