Guilty-Curd
0x50d387ac442de37e34c584b1e9bb534e0c814e63
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$2.12
Total PnL
$-2.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on May 20?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.72
$-0.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on May 21?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.63
$-0.37
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on May 20?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 6.6¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.44
$-0.56
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 21?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.33
$-0.68
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
93 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on May 20?$0.12May 20, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on May 20?$0.53May 20, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on May 21?$1.00May 20, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on May 20?$0.88May 20, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on May 20?$0.47May 20, 01:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 20?$0.10May 20, 01:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 20?$0.46May 20, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 21?$0.50May 20, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 20?$1.04May 20, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 21?$0.18May 20, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 21?$0.32May 20, 01:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$0.80May 20, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.04May 19, 16:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$0.00May 19, 15:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$0.95May 19, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$1.05May 19, 15:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$1.46May 19, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$1.04May 19, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$0.00May 18, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$0.00May 18, 16:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 23:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 03:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".