Puny-Trapdoor
0x50f4e56a862c248f66690a2cfea33e7784375e6a
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
59
Open notional
$561.31
Total PnL
$-395.75
Realised
$-51.20
Win rate
25%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
480 shares @ 16.7¢·now 16.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$79.84
$-0.24
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
300 shares @ 24.4¢·now 24.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$73.05
$-0.05
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 9.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$57.50
$12.50
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
304 shares @ 16.3¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$50.63
$0.91
- NO
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?
369 shares @ 15.4¢·now 13.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$49.77
$-6.92
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
415 shares @ 11.4¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$47.09
$-0.15
- NO
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
67 shares @ 59.9¢·now 53.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.48
$-4.62
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 7.1¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$25.75
$-9.55
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
900 shares @ 7.4¢·now 2.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$22.86
$-44.25
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 17.8¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$18.25
$0.45
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$10.33May 17, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$6.90May 17, 20:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?$3.85May 17, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?$12.50May 17, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$10.00May 17, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$20.00May 17, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$10.00May 17, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$5.00May 17, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$20.67May 17, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$10.33May 17, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$25.24May 17, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$18.24May 17, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.09May 17, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.05May 17, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.15May 17, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$25.24May 17, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$17.25May 17, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.53May 17, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$0.92May 17, 05:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $41.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 03:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".