Brilliant-Debate
0x5175bc0109f2d291e446dc76b73783c7294502ea
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
99
Open notional
$590.40
Total PnL
$8.49
Realised
$-7.41
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 99- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
120 shares @ 9.9¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$101.40
$89.50
- NO
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
147 shares @ 27.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$85.99
$46.30
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
119 shares @ 32.9¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$60.09
$20.91
- YES
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
108 shares @ 17.6¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$40.50
$21.50
- NO
No one announced as next James Bond?
157 shares @ 32.2¢·now 25.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$39.25
$-11.29
- YES
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?
128 shares @ 20.4¢·now 23.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.44
$3.35
- NO
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
147 shares @ 35.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.79
$-28.66
- YES
Tabi FDV above $500M one day after launch?
48 shares @ 25.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$13.92
$1.91
- NO
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?
49 shares @ 13.5¢·now 28.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.72
$7.09
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
147 shares @ 40.3¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.49
$-46.70
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?$2.84May 11, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aaron Rodgers retire before next season?$0.97Apr 28, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?$0.35Apr 28, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Charles win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?$2.20Apr 28, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?$1.19Apr 28, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?$0.41Apr 28, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$1.29Apr 28, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ned Lamont win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?$0.52Apr 28, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$1.54Apr 28, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Katie Porter advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$0.57Apr 28, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYExtended FDV above $800M one day after launch?$0.48Apr 28, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYExtended FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.16Apr 28, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYPacifica FDV above $800M one day after launch?$0.53Apr 28, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?$0.67Apr 28, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sharice Davids be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?$0.78Apr 28, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Christy Davis be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?$1.19Apr 28, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026?$2.09Apr 28, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $3.20 by December 31, 2026?$0.85Apr 28, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?$0.37Apr 28, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?$0.74Apr 28, 20:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 17:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 08:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".