Outlying-Sailboat
0x519794a3d72e8f18790b3089ac1e75cd74a40ce6
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
60
Open notional
$26.8K
Total PnL
$-5.8K
Realised
$122.04
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
56697 shares @ 8.6¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.1K
$259.73
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
12350 shares @ 24.3¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.4K
$396.18
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
90666 shares @ 3.3¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.1K
$128.02
- NO
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
4593 shares @ 10.9¢·now 65.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$3.0K
$2.5K
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
56604 shares @ 5.3¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.9K
$-84.85
- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
117647 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.9K
$-58.82
- YES
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
150000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.6K
$75.00
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
73529 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.1K
$-110.22
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
55556 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.0K
$27.83
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11236 shares @ 8.9¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$938.20
$-61.79
Recent activity
- YIELD$2.11May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$513.37May 17, 21:36 UTC
- YIELD$2.11May 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Malta win Eurovision 2026?$104.96May 16, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$104.94May 16, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$104.90May 16, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win Eurovision 2026?$104.97May 16, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Eurovision 2026?$104.96May 16, 19:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$100.78May 16, 17:03 UTC
- YIELD$2.12May 16, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$75.91May 15, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$90.91May 15, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?$100.00May 15, 17:02 UTC
- YIELD$2.12May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$2.11May 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.75May 13, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Autopen" or "Auto Pen" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.74May 13, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.44May 13, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.58May 13, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.68May 13, 22:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $116.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 19:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".