0x51a4ca0cbf0006d975037a73262ff5fb597102d6
0x51a4ca0cbf0006d975037a73262ff5fb597102d6
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
114
Open notional
$6.8K
Total PnL
$-17.3K
Realised
$-3.1K
Win rate
0%
50 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 114- YES
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
19189 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.6K
$-287.77
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?
16265 shares @ 16.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.4K
$-1.2K
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?
5095 shares @ 32.3¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$993.50
$-651.65
- YES
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
3926 shares @ 41.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2027$942.24
$-667.84
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4459 shares @ 16.9¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$813.70
$61.40
- YES
Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
5918 shares @ 38.0¢·now 6.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$408.34
$-1.8K
- YES
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
17363 shares @ 12.1¢·now 1.3¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$217.04
$-1.9K
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
28 shares @ 27.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.41
$20.74
- NO
Will Doug Jones win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?
4118 shares @ 32.3¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$22.65
$-1.3K
- NO
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
21 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$20.49
$0.07
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.09May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 9, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Club Libertad vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?$204.20May 8, 21:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Independiente del Valle vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC end in a draw?$20.23May 8, 21:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill CA River Plate vs. Carabobo FC end in a draw?$23.95May 8, 21:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill América de Cali vs. Club Alianza Atlético end in a draw?$24.63May 8, 21:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fluminense FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw?$61.16May 8, 21:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?$503.75May 8, 21:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Independiente del Valle vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC end in a draw?$0.00May 8, 21:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill CA River Plate vs. Carabobo FC end in a draw?$0.00May 8, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill América de Cali vs. Club Alianza Atlético end in a draw?$0.00May 8, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fluminense FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw?$0.00May 8, 21:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $32.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 02:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 50 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".