Vivacious-Fondue
0x51b11a18e75d0f4c3f8e8e360f89eb911d727865
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$10.9K
Total PnL
$-4.7K
Realised
$2.0K
Win rate
90%
40 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will May 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
1661 shares @ 44.8¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$1.3K
$519.04
- NO
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
1483 shares @ 70.5¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$170.26
- NO
SHEIN IPO before 2027?
975 shares @ 64.6¢·now 86.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$840.05
$210.71
- YES
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
2150 shares @ 19.6¢·now 29.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$634.25
$212.18
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
822 shares @ 46.3¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$464.28
$83.76
- NO
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
455 shares @ 49.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$393.57
$170.62
- NO
Rippling IPO before 2027?
418 shares @ 61.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$368.22
$112.98
- NO
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
395 shares @ 72.5¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$365.38
$79.18
- YES
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
721 shares @ 39.3¢·now 49.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$353.29
$69.80
- NO
Databricks IPO before 2027?
398 shares @ 54.4¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$344.27
$127.94
Recent activity
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?$3.50May 18, 03:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?$20.11May 14, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?$6.54May 14, 12:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cristopher Sánchez strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?$9.95May 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$15.20May 12, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?$4.41May 12, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?$13.10May 12, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?$37.88May 12, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?$3.54May 12, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?$41.30May 12, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Thurmond win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?$37.40May 12, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Thurmond win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?$8.23May 12, 01:31 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.37May 12, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 12, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $23.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 17:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 03:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 40 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".