0x51c9336f0a766cd9004a10cb5400bf7705348825
0x51c9336f0a766cd9004a10cb5400bf7705348825
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$355.77
Total PnL
$-324.91
Realised
$-9.69
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
912 shares @ 11.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$86.60
$-13.40
- YES
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?
462 shares @ 13.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$62.31
$2.31
- NO
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
102 shares @ 49.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$51.53
$1.53
- NO
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $185B by June 30?
52 shares @ 48.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$34.11
$9.11
- NO
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $160B by June 30?
33 shares @ 75.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$26.17
$1.17
- YES
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by December 31?
45 shares @ 56.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$25.22
$0.22
- NO
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $165B by June 30?
34 shares @ 73.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$25.00
$0.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
125 shares @ 16.0¢·now 18.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$22.56
$2.56
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
278 shares @ 9.0¢·now 5.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.98
$-9.02
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
13 shares @ 39.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$5.45
$0.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $185B by June 30?$25.77May 20, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by December 31?$25.69May 20, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $165B by June 30?$25.52May 20, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $160B by June 30?$25.50May 20, 10:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?$26.08May 19, 23:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$25.07May 18, 22:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$32.78May 18, 22:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?$26.04May 16, 14:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of May 11 2026?$26.32May 16, 14:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$71.59May 15, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$91.56May 15, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.20May 15, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Cookie" during events with Xi Jinping?$25.77May 15, 11:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$25.78May 15, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hottest" during events with Xi Jinping?$29.41May 15, 11:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $28.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 20:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 10:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".