Informal-Sector
0x529b09ee3e4efee8994118ff4be32d2213830ece
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
58
Open notional
$58.93
Total PnL
$-260.16
Realised
$29.68
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- YES
Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
3601 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.7¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$25.21
$7.79
- YES
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
150 shares @ 9.7¢·now 6.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.53
$-4.98
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.68
$-1.32
- YES
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
66 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.63
$-0.37
- NO
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
9 shares @ 23.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$3.61
$1.61
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
50 shares @ 8.9¢·now 7.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.57
$-0.88
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.17
$-6.83
- YES
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.09
$-1.91
- YES
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
18 shares @ 11.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.27
$-0.73
- YES
Netanyahu out by June 30?
19 shares @ 15.5¢·now 3.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.62
$-2.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$14.89May 17, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?$1.58May 13, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?$1.82May 12, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$21.93May 10, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$1.02May 9, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$1.04May 8, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$3.07May 8, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$4.65May 7, 20:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Montreal Canadiens advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?$5.00May 4, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMNHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning $7.69May 4, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Montreal Canadiens advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?$3.00May 3, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYNHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning $5.05May 3, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$10.00Apr 13, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump attend UFC 327?$1.00Apr 11, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?$5.00Mar 19, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$3.00Mar 12, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$0.00Mar 11, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?$2.00Mar 10, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$5.00Mar 10, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$5.67Mar 10, 15:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $3.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 21, 22:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 01:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".