Idealistic-Fail
0x52aa14610e1ae700e83e5da79bf0568d2dfb42a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$736.76
Total PnL
$-618.16
Realised
$-19.36
Win rate
14%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
245 shares @ 93.7¢·now 95.7¢·exp May 26, 2026$234.80
$4.80
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
159 shares @ 94.3¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$150.27
$0.27
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
110 shares @ 90.8¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 26, 2026$109.26
$9.26
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
109 shares @ 92.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$101.63
$1.63
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
117 shares @ 85.4¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$98.95
$-1.05
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
19 shares @ 96.7¢·now 98.3¢·exp May 29, 2026$18.29
$0.29
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
11 shares @ 93.8¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.87
$-0.13
- YES
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
8 shares @ 60.7¢·now 82.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$6.75
$1.75
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
9 shares @ 58.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?
3 shares @ 67.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$1.99
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$30.07May 25, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$50.12May 25, 11:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in May 2026?$50.05May 25, 08:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$0.28May 25, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$1.02May 25, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$1.09May 25, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$1.03May 25, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$100.30May 25, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$100.40May 25, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$1.01May 25, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in May 2026?$50.11May 25, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$200.65May 25, 04:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$478.12May 25, 01:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$1.16May 25, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$1.01May 25, 01:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMEnglish Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?$7.14May 24, 20:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$1.67May 24, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$1.03May 24, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$10.02May 24, 06:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $63.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 14:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 12:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".