Grumpy-Passport
0x52e2e1776b56d91dc31197d8347e032cbd451423
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$36.94
Total PnL
$-9.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
6 shares @ 83.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$5.51
$0.51
- YES
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
6 shares @ 36.0¢·now 90.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.04
$3.04
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
10 shares @ 38.7¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
9 shares @ 53.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.73
$-1.27
- YES
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
4 shares @ 85.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.47
$0.47
- SPACEX
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
3 shares @ 86.3¢·now 98.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$3.42
$0.42
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
3 shares @ 72.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$2.51
$0.51
- YES
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
2 shares @ 86.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.15
$0.15
- NO
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
2 shares @ 98.3¢·now 99.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$2.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
1 shares @ 94.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.05
$0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.00May 3, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYCuban regime falls in 2026?$1.00May 3, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?$1.25Apr 12, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$3.95Apr 12, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMDow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on March 17?$2.81Mar 26, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?$2.00Mar 17, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on March 17?$2.00Mar 17, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYDow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on March 17?$2.28Mar 17, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?$3.00Mar 17, 17:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$2.08Mar 17, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 16?$4.30Mar 17, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.27Mar 17, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.00Mar 13, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 13, 04:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$1.67Mar 13, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$1.00Mar 13, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$5.00Mar 13, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 16?$4.00Mar 13, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?$1.00Mar 13, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$2.00Mar 13, 04:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $2.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 04:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 3, 13:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".