Past-Disguise
0x52ebca459280966f4a56240a05e38df8527067ac
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
139
Open notional
$12.3K
Total PnL
$3.3K
Realised
$3.6K
Win rate
88%
82 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 139- YES
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
3500 shares @ 7.5¢·now 28.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.0K
$746.50
- NO
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
772 shares @ 12.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 15, 2026$766.49
$673.62
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1500 shares @ 35.9¢·now 31.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$473.25
$-65.91
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
3000 shares @ 15.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$435.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
1950 shares @ 24.2¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$399.75
$-72.74
- YES
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
2140 shares @ 12.3¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$331.71
$69.40
- YES
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
3000 shares @ 2.2¢·now 10.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$316.50
$250.34
- YES
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
6026 shares @ 4.6¢·now 4.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$280.19
$4.99
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
1250 shares @ 22.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$268.75
$-6.25
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
7202 shares @ 3.4¢·now 2.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$182.92
$-60.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.21May 18, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.19May 18, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$10.00May 18, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$10.00May 18, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$10.00May 18, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$10.00May 18, 05:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?$4.23May 18, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?$11.52May 18, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?$3.72May 18, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.23May 18, 04:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship?$1.68May 18, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Houston Dynamo FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$0.15May 18, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.57May 18, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.23May 18, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?$0.89May 18, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by June 30?$72.25May 18, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?$1.62May 18, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.11May 18, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?$12.50May 18, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?$12.50May 18, 04:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 02:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 82 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".