Carefree-Path
0x53141ee3652c411e65f5822d0a7769d4db2a5db9
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$87.18
Total PnL
$-250.29
Realised
$51.55
Win rate
61%
57 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Scott Bessent be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
102 shares @ 0.5¢·now 13.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.16
$13.69
- YES
Will Newcastle United qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?
28 shares @ 3.0¢·now 47.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$13.09
$12.27
- YES
Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
16 shares @ 44.8¢·now 56.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2027$9.12
$1.82
- YES
Will Tim Walz be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
222 shares @ 0.7¢·now 3.4¢·exp Aug 10, 2028$7.43
$5.81
- YES
Will Cremonese place 17th for the 2025-26 Serie A season?
13 shares @ 6.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.99
$5.21
- YES
SlingshotDAO FDV above $300M one day after launch?
14 shares @ 16.1¢·now 41.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$5.76
$3.54
- YES
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie have the best domestic opening week in 2026?
93 shares @ 6.3¢·now 6.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.60
$-0.24
- YES
Will Erika Kirk be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
44 shares @ 4.5¢·now 8.3¢·exp Aug 14, 2028$3.65
$1.69
- YES
Will voter turnout be between 47% and 50% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
12 shares @ 6.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$2.98
$2.28
- YES
Will Carole Delga announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
18 shares @ 11.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2027$2.98
$1.05
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Palermo achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?$0.50May 18, 09:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill VOX (VOX) win 16-18 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$0.01May 18, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Byron Donalds be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?$0.03May 18, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Brady be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?$0.05May 18, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marjorie Taylor Greene be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?$0.08May 18, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erika Kirk be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?$0.26May 18, 06:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Independiente del Valle vs. Club Libertad end in a draw?$5.51May 18, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nashville SC win on 2026-05-17?$2.31May 18, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nashville SC win on 2026-05-17?$1.36May 18, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nashville SC win on 2026-05-17?$3.88May 18, 01:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nashville SC win on 2026-05-17?$1.13May 18, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nashville SC win on 2026-05-17?$0.93May 18, 01:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nashville SC win on 2026-05-17?$4.29May 18, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nashville SC win on 2026-05-17?$2.72May 18, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nashville SC win on 2026-05-17?$2.22May 18, 01:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nashville SC win on 2026-05-17?$4.41May 18, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nashville SC win on 2026-05-17?$1.05May 18, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nashville SC win on 2026-05-17?$3.87May 18, 01:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nashville SC win on 2026-05-17?$7.27May 18, 01:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nashville SC win on 2026-05-17?$0.85May 18, 01:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 22:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 57 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".