Nervous-Brewer
0x533d066d655ae6b2d27620d30c81a7af828de5ec
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$28.39
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- EC JUVENTUDE
Spread: Ceará SC (-2.5)
1523 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$761.50
$0.00
- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
680 shares @ 58.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$465.80
$71.40
- YES
Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?
287 shares @ 35.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$64.58
$-35.87
- NO
Will Starmer say "Renewables" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
41 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$41.00
$8.61
- YES
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
49 shares @ 84.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$19.84
$-21.31
- YES
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
1 shares @ 41.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.27
$-0.14
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
1 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.17
$0.01
- NO
Will "Ninja" be said at the Rotterdam Grand Final?
975 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-721.50
- YES
Will Trump say "JD" or "Vance" during events with Rutte?
886 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-513.88
- YES
Will Keir Starmer say "Iran" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
706 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-465.96
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$60.06Apr 21, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08?$203.36Apr 21, 02:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08?$432.96Apr 21, 02:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$143.99Apr 13, 04:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$44.66Apr 13, 04:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$60.83Apr 13, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?$100.45Apr 11, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08?$40.26Apr 11, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08?$130.46Apr 11, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Ceará SC (-2.5)$761.50Apr 10, 13:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel annex any territory by June 30?$474.73Apr 9, 12:03 UTC
- TRADESELLFDA approves Retatrutide this year?$437.36Apr 9, 10:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$92.16Apr 9, 09:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$24.00Apr 9, 09:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$4.08Apr 9, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$143.99Apr 8, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$147.84Apr 8, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$16.94Apr 8, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYFDA approves Retatrutide this year?$462.00Apr 8, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel annex any territory by June 30?$623.77Apr 7, 11:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $246.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 11:30 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 08:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".