Shoddy-Moat
0x53c992557d6cd7fca7c66186be5444e0cbec2fb4
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$77.80
Total PnL
$-25.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
75 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$69.62
$-0.38
- YES
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.18
$0.18
- NO
AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$3.00
$0.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
143 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 94.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$70.20May 18, 06:08 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$49.82May 18, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$50.18May 17, 07:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$109.94May 17, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$101.16May 16, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$87.48May 16, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$88.31May 15, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$16.43May 15, 17:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$66.81May 15, 10:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.00May 15, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$21.20May 15, 06:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$0.00May 15, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$715.33May 15, 06:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$768.23May 15, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$506.60May 15, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$337.97May 15, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$135.52May 15, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.00May 15, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$469.66May 15, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$470.33May 15, 05:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $325.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 17:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".